November 17, 2022

House GOP's eeny, meeny, miny, moe, Hunter, Alejandro, or Joe?

 House GOP's eeny, meeny, miny, moe, Hunter,  Alejandro, or Joe?

By Hal Brown

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The speculation about what the Republican's will do now that they control the House of Representatives is rampant. See, for example "What will a Republican House look like? A lot of investigations and maybe impeachment" in USA Today.

There are lots of analogies to describe the job Kevin McCarthy now has from herding cats to being the chief of the Keystone Kops (sans female cops), a circular firing squad, clown car of revenge, and pit of ouroboros snakes 


The loudest clamor for an investigation is into Hunter Biden. The problem from McCarthy's point of view is that while he will 
probably have to go along with this to satisfy his fringe members, the general public doesn't really care about this just they way they didn't care about Benghazi

According to USA Today "Republicans have questioned whether Hunter Biden has compromised the presidency and national security through his business dealings in China and Ukraine." Obviously this is an indirect way to get at the president both politically and personally.

There's also been talk about impeachments. Merrick Garland has been mentioned but there's been some serious consideration being reported to holding impeachment hearings for Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas because of how he handled the border crisis.

This would be a way to blame President Biden and score political points with their anti-immigrant base.

The problem with this in getting the public to pay attention is that most people never heard of him and couldn't identify him in a lineup. 

Trying to impeach Garland would open them to having Democrats present their defense of him and bring their own witnesses to highlight and make their case for the culpability of Donald Trump in both the J6 coup attempt and the documents theft case.

It is possible that McCarthy will decide for various reasons to succumb to Marjorie Taylor Greene's exhortations to impeach President Biden. She's repeatedly called for his impeachment and said making the case would be easy.

McCarthy could put Greene on the committee handing the impeachment and even make sure she's chairman. Even though the impeachment would never lead to a Senate conviction it would be a way to attack President Biden and his policies and of all the hearings be most likely to gain a television audience. 

I think McCarthy will do anything he possibly can to avoid an impeachment of President Biden because 
more than the other specious investigations and hearings, it could easily backfire and demonstrate to potential swing voters in the 2024 election that the Republican Party has been taken over by a bunch of revengeful clowns and unhinged conspiracy theorists.

If the House GOP does go after President Biden I can see the result being that he becomes more and more popular and this will be reflected in the polls. It will coincide with voters seeing the fruits of his policies. By then it will be too late for the Republicans. The House GOP will have committed itself to his being impeached.

The trial in the Senate not only would be a foregone conclusion, but the Republicans trying to make their case would have flimsy evidence to present that whatever he supposedly did was grounds for conviction.

All the Democrats would vote against conviction but the ultimate humiliation would come if a few daring Republicans with an ounce of integrity, or with nothing to lose, also voted against it. 


 

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