By Hal Brown
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| DonkeyHotey, InPixio |
On February 26th I wrote "Tucker Carlson might be Trump's best pick to run with him for VP" when he still had a job.
Of course I took the bait and clicked:
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| Click above to read |
But also because he is the only candidate in the field that will have the name ID enough to look viable to win the nomination that MAGA can accept once it becomes clear that Trump has too much indictment baggage. My expectations are that by late fall Trump will be facing multiple indictments and will begin to be seen as too risky to nomination. At this time, DeSantis is by far their most likely landing pad. The rest of the field as it currently exists is too obscure. Now, if a different MAGA flamethrower with very high name ID like Tucker Carlson was to emerge, THEN DeSantis would be in trouble.
While I still think it is possible, as I wrote back in February, that Trump could decide that Carlson would be his best choice for a VP running mate. He could announce this choice well before the GOP convention and knock out DeSantis and anyone else daring to declare against him.
The next question is what would running to be second banana to Trump give Tucker. During the campaign of course it would give him a job, albeit unsalaried. It would keep him in the limelight, hell, he'd have klieg lights on him that would be at least as bright as he had when he was at Fox News.
If he was asked to run by Trump he'd have a difficult decision to make. He'd have to consider Trump's chances of winning. He'd be looking at polls which included him as a candidate in the GOP primary and then at polls which had him running against President Biden.
If it looked like he stood a reasonable chance of beating Trump in the primary and polls showed that Biden was very likely to win the general election against him, Carlson might decide running as a probable loser wasn't worth his time and effort.
If polls showed he could beat Trump and, crucially, stood a reasonable chance of beating Biden, my expectation is that he would run.
Assuming he became president there's no way to determine how he would govern because only he knows what he really believes today although his history dating back to college shows he was a die-in-the-wool bigot even back then. In addition to being a member of The Christian Fellowship he was involved with The Jesse Helms Foundation (Helms was an outspoken opponent of gay rights) and The Dan White Society which was named for the man who murdered San Francisco Mayor George Moscone known for his diverse hiring, and openly gay Supervisor Harvey Milk.
- He called trans children grotesque.
- He claimed that transgender women “put every woman and girl at risk of male violence.”
- He refused to apologize for using an anti-gay slur on air.
- He's criticized having women in the military.
It appears what while Trump and DeSantis promote so-called anti-woke policies which discriminate against members of the LGBTQ+ community, Carlson's distain and disgust against them is deeply rooted and goes back at least to high school when it has been reported he once beat up a gay man in a public bathroom.
While Carlson has said he has no plans to run for president and made a legal threat against a PAC which is urging him to run, this doesn't mean he actually wouldn't run if he thought he stood a chance of winning.
Newsweek published "What a Tucker Carlson Presidency Would Look Like" last month. Here are the main points:
- The TV host would be "hard to dismiss" as a presidential candidate, according to some academics.
- His appeal could indicate the American right is "radicalizing even beyond Trump," and seeking "a new charismatic leader."
- But others told Newsweek a Carlson presidency would be "devastating for race relations.
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