October 17, 2022

Is Trump crazy or crazy like a fox? It may be up to a jury to decide.

Is Trump crazy or crazy like a fox? It may be up to a jury to decide.

By Hal Brown



If Trump ever gets under oath, whether before the January 6th Committee or in court, his intent may likely be a crucial aspect of what will be assessed in order to determine his culpability. 

He may be able to avoid perjury by talking about what he believed. It is sometimes very difficult to prove intent in a legal proceeding. If a jury decides had no criminal intent because in his "crazy" mind he didn't believe he did anything wrong he might get off.

The two most potentially serious charges againstTrump are his inciting an armed assault against the Capitol to overturn an election and his stealing government documents. 

His initial defense might be that, for the first, he thought he was saving the country and it was his patriot duty to rally his "troops" to stop the illegal proceedings which would certify Joe Biden's election and cheat him out of his rightful second term.

For the second, he might begin begin by claiming he thought the documents belonged to him.

These both fall somewhere between lame and ludicrous when it comes to a legal tactic. 

His best defense for his actions, and in the case of January 6th his inaction following his initial action, might be to play the inept - insanity card.


Another way for him to demonstrate it would be to hold up this card:


It isn't a new quandary to wonder whether Trump is crazy or crazy like a fox. Mental health experts have weighed in on this, but now it may be a highly relevant legal question. 

Search the phrase and you come up with this on the first page (you'll find an article I wrote, republished below):

Note the second link from the bottom is one of my stories.

I asked the question in the following article which I put on Daily Kos (you can read the 40 comments here) on June 13, 2022:


Here's what I wrote in June:

For those of you who watched the hearing this morning I pose a question which I and others have asked before: is Trump crazy or is he crazy like a fox?

This morning if you watched the J6 hearing you saw a video of Williams Barr saying Trump was not a rational person.
.
He said that if Trump truly believed the things he was saying then he was “detached from reality."
.
Not being able to tell what is real from what isn’t is a hallmark of several severe mental disorders or conditions.
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Today Rep. Jamie Raskin said Trump either knew he was lying or was mentally incapacitated.(Read article)
There has been a lot of debate about whether Trump is crazy or crazy like a fox. I think there is fairly uniform agreement that early in childhood her developed into a malignant narcissist. It would fit that if he had so much, really just about all, of his identity tied up in his grandiose self-identity that when he lost the election he suffer something he’d never experienced. This is called a narcissistic injury. This is how Wikipedia describes it:
A narcissistic injury is also known as "narcissistic wound" or "wounded ego" are emotional traumas that overwhelm an individual's defense mechanisms and devastate their pride and self worth. In some cases the shame or disgrace is so significant that the individual can never again truly feel good about who they are and this is sometimes referred to as a "narcissistic scar".
This was published in The Week in 2017: Is Trump crazy or crazy like a fox? 

You're not taking crazy pills. The president and a distressingly large number of people around him regularly say things that sound quite literally insane.

I don't mean neurotic. The president and his advisers don't appear to suffer from anxiety disorder or depression. I'm not even talking about the severe narcissism that every commentator and armchair psychotherapist discerns in Trump's self-absorbed, needy, vindictive tweets and other public pronouncements. I'm talking about something far more serious: clinical psychosis — an incapacity to distinguish between fact and fiction, reality and illusion.

In The New York Times in their regular Conversation column on Dec. 15, 2017 Gail Collins and Bret Stephens discussed the question: Is Trump Crazy Like a Fox or Plain Old Crazy?

They begin:

Gail Collins: Bret, I’ve had a lot of these conversations over the years, but I cannot remember ever starting one by asking whether you think the president is off his rocker. In the real, mentally ill sense.

Bret Stephens: Um, was he ever on his rocker, Gail?

Look, I’ve gone back and forth on this question. If you look up old interviews he conducted 20 or 30 years ago (check out this video of his testimony to a congressional committee in 1991), what you find is a much more coherent thinker and verbally acute speaker than the man he is today. I’m not expert enough to say at what point mental decline slides into senility or dementia, but there’s clearly been a decline.

I posted this in June of 2018:

Screenshot2022-06-13at12.33.41PM.png

Here’s my diary from Dec. 15, 2020:

Screenshot2022-06-13at12.51.32PM.png

I wrote this almost exactly a year ago:

Screenshot2022-06-13at12.32.29PM.png

The question of whether Trump is crazy or crazy like a fox is not new. 

What is new is that since his election loss there is evidence that he actually now meets the criteria for having a psychiatric disorder or at least a condition where delusions are a prominent feature.

\

Today's conclusion:

Since I wrote the above article in June, merely four months ago, if anything Trump's behavior has become more erratic and he's demonstrated more and more bad judgment. 

An example of bad judgment is that just yesterday he  launched what appears to have been an unprovoked -- and widely criticized -- attack on American Jews It ended with a warning they need to "get their act together and appreciate what they have in Israel - Before it is too late!"

In late September he attacked on McConnell with 'death wish' remark on his Truth Social platform and made what was widely interpreted as a racist comment about this wife.

It may be that as the reality of his legal jeopardy on five, six, or more fronts is finally percolating up though his rigid psychological defenses and he is teetering between being a crafty but occasionally unhinged fox and just plain certifiably crazy. 

Being crafty and committing a crime may end you up in jail or found guilty of civil infractions that can have huge monetary implications.  

Being criminally crafty can end you up in prison, being crazy may be a get out of jail free card.

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October 16, 2022

Trump Junior praises conspiracy theorists for pattern recognition ability

 /

Trump Junior praises conspiracy theorists for pattern recognition ability

by Hal Brown

I took the above photo, and the one below, at Little Harbor Beach on Buzzard's Bay in Wareham, MA.
Click above to enlarge

This story was prompted by these Truth Social posts by Donald Trump, Jr. who is turning ever more 
orange and unhinged as he embraces the lunatic beliefs of his bigly brained blowhard daddy.



Clicking above will enlarge image but will not go to Truth Social

In the Truth Social post series above Junior references "pattern recognition" and lauds conspiracy theorists for having the ability to see nefarious patterns others miss which prove Democratic conspiracies.


I don't know which of Trump's older sons is the bigger idiot. What I do know is that coments like this are a good example of projection:



Junior thinks he is so very smart and throws out the term "pattern recognition" using it in a colloquial way. Actually this is what it means:


Pattern recognition is the ability of machines to identify patterns in data, and then use those patterns to make decisions or predictions. This guide provides an overview of the most important techniques used to recognize patterns and real-world applications. Reference.


The way Junior uses the term was part of the theme of a novel by that name:



"The novel's central theme involves the examination of the human desire to detect patterns or meaning and the risks of finding patterns in meaningless data
."


He thinks that believing what we know are his and other fellow residents of Magaland are delusions are the result of the result of the brilliant ability to see patterns others are too dumb to recognize. In fact he and these MAGA delusionists might as well be seeing the patterns they want to see in the clouds. 




Seeing patterns of behavior that actually reveal a not readily discernible truth of a matter is something investigators, whether good journalists or detectives, are adept at. 


Actually seeing patterns that don't prove anything, but rather support a person's delusional beliefs suggest their reality testing is impaired at best and buying into delusions supporting a political agenda, or have a paranoid disorder as a worst case.


I don't know where the majority of those who believe in the ludicrous claims of QAnon fit on some sort of continuum between merely being gullible and having a diagnosable psychiatric disorder. I expect this now or will be the subject of research studies.


One of my dear childhood friends and neighbors (Hi, GWC...) and I still reminisce about how we used to lay on the grass in her yard and loved it when we found patterns in the clouds. We might point and say "that one looks like a bird" or typically "that looks like a face." 


My partner and I  always enjoy looking at the sky whether at home or rides in the beautiful Oregon countryside. Generally we just just appreciate the way the clouds take the bland pallet of a blue sky and turn it into an artistic display. Occasionally a pattern jumps out at us.


We don't think that the pattern has any other meaning than the fortuitous accident of upper atmospheric weather, but then again we're not delusional.


Note: 


Junior still is on Twitter where he posted the same message and had supportive and critical replies, one apparently from Elon Musk.

Clicking these will enlarge them but not go to Twitter.

 

Is is the reply I posted on Twitter:



Now, for you enjoyment, here are some cloud photos I took. Click each one to enlarge it.


Above and below, Buzzard's Bay, Massachusetts

Below, photos taken in Oregon.










Above and below, Portland.





October 15, 2022

Will he or won't he? Part 3 on Trump testifying before J6 Committee

 Will he or won't he? Part 3 on Trump testifying before J6 Committee

By Hal Brown



Sunday Update: On MSNBC at least, the speculation as to whether he will testify is leaning toward saying he won't.

Not a link

Here are two articles about the possibility Trump will end up testifying before the January 6th Committee:

From The Guardian:


From RAWSTORY:



These articles ask whether  testifying before the January 6th Committee would be wise, and say that his lawyers are cautioning him that it may not be to his advantage to testify only to exact revenge against his enemies.

All of this may amount to nothing but a miniscule Mar-a-Lago hill of beans when it come to influencing Trump.



I still maintain that there's a reasonable chance Trump will end up testifying before the January 6th Committee despite the following reporting:

"Trump also appears to have become more aware about the pitfalls of testifying in investigations, with lawyers warning him about mounting legal issues in criminal inquiries brought by the justice department and a civil lawsuit brought by the New York state attorney’s office."
It is one thing to say that Trump is aware of "the pitfalls of testifying" and quite another to say that's he's convinced that the so-called pitfalls described by lawyers who he probably believes aren't nearly as intelligent as he is ought to be heeded.

Trump is a man who has always been guided by his own grandiose beliefs in his being the smartest person in the room. The "room" as he defines it is the country, hell, the world if not the cosmos. 

Trump is a MAGA moth drawn to the flame of fame.

He knows that if he wants to have the eyes of the nation riveted on him, whether in prime time or during the day, he will push his demand for live coverage of his testimony rather than as in typical testimony given in a deposition prior to or instead of appearing before the full committee live.

I have little doubt that if she's not the top of Trump's most despised list, Nancy Pelosi is in the top three. I assume he watched the last J6 Committee hearing (it was on Fox) so he saw the videos of her during the attack:
If anyone was watching the commentaries about this anywhere but on Fox they heard commentators talking abut how presidential she was. Trump probably thought "how dare she" get so much air time." 

He'd be raging on, in his mind if not out loud, about how he was being cheated out of TV time that was deservedly his. 

I can see him thinking about how foolish the committee was to subpoena him to appear in person. "Perhaps they're bluffing," he might think. "Well, fuck them, I'll call their bluff," he'd think as he basked in his blowhard self-behooved brilliance.

He is well aware that the committee will be hard pressed to deny his acceptance of the subpoena with what will be interpreted by many, if most, in the public as a reasonable request to simply walk into the committee room, be sworn in, and show to the nation that he is cooperating. 

Whether Trump is able to resist this remains to be seen. 

For the reasons described in my two pervious stories (links below and in side column) I wouldn't dismiss the possibility that we won't see him achieve the bragging rights to having been the star of one of the most watched television shows ever broadcast. He might think this would exceed the viewers of the moon landing in 1960 (125-150 million). 

Even if his numbers are much less (and they would be - after all he wouldn't be the first man to walk on the moon) there's a good chance if he was to testify the number of viewers would exceed the 20 million who viewed the first committee hearing and you can bet he would brag bigly about this.





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